Argentina vs Croatia — 2026 World Cup Group C Preview, Predicted XIs, How to Watch

Saturday, June 13, 2026 · 12 PM ET / 5 PM UK / 11 AM CT / 9 AM PT · SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles

The 2022 World Cup semifinal rematch — at noon Eastern, in front of 70,000+ in Los Angeles. Argentina beat Croatia 3-0 in Qatar's semifinal to reach the eventual title. Lionel Messi scored. Julián Álvarez scored twice. Eight years later, Messi at 38 returns to the matchup that defined his road to the trophy. Modrić at 40 returns to settle a generational score.

The 30-second briefing

  • Kickoff: Saturday, June 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET / 11:00 AM CT / 9:00 AM PT / 5:00 PM UK / 1:00 PM Argentina
  • Venue: SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles · Capacity 70,240
  • TV English: FOX (free, over-the-air) · FS1
  • TV Spanish (US): Telemundo (free) · Peacock ($7.99/mo)
  • Argentina: TyC Sports + TV Pública (both free)
  • Croatia: HRT (free)
  • UK: ITV (free)
  • Worldwide: Full streaming guide →

Why this match defines Group C

Three reasons this is a marquee opener:

1. The 2022 score is unsettled. Croatia entered the 2022 semifinal as significant underdogs and got blown out 3-0. Modrić has been quoted multiple times saying the scoreline didn't reflect the match. The rematch carries that subtext.

2. Messi's last World Cup matchday-1 vs European top-6 opposition. Messi at 38, in his final tournament, vs the team that almost ended his 2022 run. The narrative writes itself. Scaloni will start him; the question is whether he plays 90 or gets pulled at 70 for minute management.

3. Group C ranks. Argentina (12% title odds) is the clear group favorite. Croatia (2% title odds) is the most-tactically-experienced team in Group C. A win or draw here defines the second-place fight — Croatia probably advances regardless, but their bracket position depends on points here.

Argentina's tactical setup

Manager: Lionel Scaloni · 4-4-2 (the system that beat Croatia in 2022)

Style: Messi as second striker beside Lautaro Martínez; deep block when defending; vertical transition

Predicted Argentina XI (4-4-2)

```

Dibu Martínez (GK)

Molina Romero Otamendi Tagliafico

Mac Allister De Paul Enzo Lo Celso

Messi Lautaro

```

Key call: Lo Celso starts ahead of Garnacho on the left. Scaloni prefers the experience for matchday 1.

Croatia's tactical setup

Manager: Zlatko Dalić · 4-3-3

Style: Midfield-dominant possession; Modrić sets tempo; press in selected waves

Predicted Croatia XI (4-3-3)

```

Livaković (GK)

Stanišić Šutalo Gvardiol Sosa

Kovačić Modrić Brozović

Pašalić Petković Perišić

```

Tactical note: Same midfield trio Croatia has used since 2018. Three consecutive deep tournament runs say it works against any opponent.

The decisive matchups

  1. Messi vs Modrić in the central channel — both drop deep, both demand the ball. Whoever's allowed to receive in space wins their team's possession battle.
  2. Lautaro Martínez vs Gvardiol — Argentina's most-likely goal source. Gvardiol's positioning is the test.
  3. Mac Allister vs Brozović — pivot battle. Whichever team controls the middle third controls the second half.
  4. The first 15 minutes — Argentina won 2022's semifinal with two goals in the first half. Croatia knows this. The opening pressing pattern is the indicator.

What the model says

  • Argentina wins: 51%
  • Draw: 27%
  • Croatia wins: 22%

Most-likely scoreline: Argentina 1-1 (11.2%) or Argentina 2-1 (10.4%). A 3-0 repeat is just 2.8% probable.

Three predictions worth tracking

  1. Messi scores or assists. The historical Croatia matchup produces decisive Messi moments.
  2. The match goes past the 75th minute scoreless if both teams are level. Croatia's tactical conservatism + Argentina's late-game game-management produces late-deciding goals.
  3. Argentina wins or draws. Direct 51% win + 27% draw = 78% probability of at least one point.

How to watch — every market

  • US (English): FOX — 12 PM ET
  • US (Spanish): Telemundo / Peacock
  • Argentina: TyC Sports + TV Pública (free)
  • Croatia: HRT (free)
  • UK: ITV (free)
  • Worldwide: Full streaming + TV guide

Track this match

Subscribe to Argentina alerts and Croatia alerts for kickoff pings, goal alerts, full-time recap.

*Related: Argentina full preview · Croatia full preview · Messi profile · Modrić profile · Final power rankings*

Frequently asked questions

Where is the 2026 FIFA World Cup being held?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is hosted across 16 cities in the United States, Mexico, and Canada, running from June 11 to July 19, 2026 — the first 48-team World Cup.